Plattform-Vergleich
| Plattform | JA-Quote | NEIN-Quote | Gebühr | KYC | Auszahlung | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (über Sofort Wetten) Empfohlen polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
96% | 4% | 0 % (USDC on-chain) | Bis $1.500 ohne KYC | USDC, automatisch via UMA | Auf Polymarket ansehen → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
96% | 4% | 0% | Geo-blockiert in DE/AT/CH | USDC, on-chain | Auf Polymarket ansehen → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Bis 7 % pro Trade | US-only, KYC erforderlich | USD | Auf Polymarket ansehen → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5 % Kommission | Vollständige KYC ab erstem Trade | GBP / EUR | Auf Polymarket ansehen → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Spielgeld (mana) | Keine — Spielgeld | Mana (kein Cash-Out) | Auf Polymarket ansehen → |
Ergebnis-Wahrscheinlichkeiten
Aktuelle marktimplizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit je Ergebnis aus dem Live-Orderbuch.
| Ergebnis | Wahrscheinlichkeit |
|---|---|
| O/U 24.5 | 96% |
| O/U 26.5 | 95% |
| O/U 27.5 | 93% |
| O/U 28.5 | 93% |
| Texans O/U 10.5 | 93% |
| O/U 29.5 | 91% |
| Bengals O/U 10.5 | 90% |
| O/U 30.5 | 89% |
| O/U 31.5 | 88% |
| O/U 32.5 | 86% |
| 2Q O/U 6.5 | 85% |
| O/U 33.5 | 83% |
| 4Q O/U 6.5 | 83% |
| O/U 34.5 | 82% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 80% |
| Texans 1H O/U 6.5 | 80% |
| O/U 35.5 | 79% |
| O/U 36.5 | 77% |
| 1H O/U 16.5 | 76% |
| Bengals 1H O/U 6.5 | 75% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 74% |
| Bengals O/U 16.5 | 74% |
| Texans O/U 23.5 | 74% |
| O/U 37.5 | 73% |
| O/U 38.5 | 72% |
| 3Q O/U 6.5 | 71% |
| Texans O/U 19.5 | 71% |
| O/U 39.5 | 69% |
| 1Q O/U 6.5 | 68% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 2Q | 68% |
| O/U 40.5 | 65% |
| 1H O/U 19.5 | 65% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 63% |
| Texans O/U 20.5 | 63% |
| O/U 41.5 | 62% |
| Bengals O/U 19.5 | 62% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 4Q | 62% |
| O/U 42.5 | 60% |
| 2H O/U 25.5 | 60% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 59% |
| Spread -0.5 | 57% |
| O/U 43.5 | 57% |
| 2H O/U 19.5 | 56% |
| Spread -1.5 | 55% |
| Bengals O/U 13.5 | 55% |
| Bengals O/U 20.5 | 55% |
| Spread -2.5 | 53% |
| O/U 44.5 | 53% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 53% |
| Texans O/U 13.5 | 52% |
| Texans 1H O/U 10.5 | 52% |
| Texans Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 52% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 51% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 51% |
| 4Q O/U 5.5 | 51% |
| Bengals 2H O/U 6.5 | 51% |
| Texans 2H O/U 12.5 | 51% |
| Texans 2H O/U 16.5 | 51% |
| Exact Margin: Texans by 21+ | 51% |
| Bengals vs. Texans: Total Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 51% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Bengals O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Bengals O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| Texans O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Texans O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| Bengals 1H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Bengals 1H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Bengals 2H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Bengals 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Bengals 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Bengals 2H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Texans 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Texans 2H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Texans 2H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Texans by 7-13 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Texans by 14-20 | 50% |
| Team to Record Longest FG | 50% |
| Bengals Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Texans Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| O/U 45.5 | 49% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 49% |
| 1H O/U 22.5 | 49% |
| 2Q O/U 5.5 | 49% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 49% |
| Bengals 2H O/U 16.5 | 49% |
| Bengals 2H O/U 19.5 | 49% |
| Bengals 2H O/U 20.5 | 49% |
| Texans 2H O/U 6.5 | 49% |
| Texans 2H O/U 10.5 | 49% |
| Texans 2H O/U 19.5 | 49% |
| Exact Margin: Bengals by 19-24 | 49% |
| Exact Margin: Bengals by 7-12 | 49% |
| Exact Margin: Bengals by 1-6 | 49% |
| Exact Margin: Texans by 1-6 | 49% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 49% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 48% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 48% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 48% |
| Bengals O/U 23.5 | 48% |
| Texans 1H O/U 12.5 | 48% |
| Exact Margin: Bengals by 25+ | 48% |
| Exact Margin: Bengals by 13-18 | 48% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 47% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 47% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 47% |
| Texans O/U 12.5 | 47% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 47% |
| O/U 46.5 | 46% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 46% |
| 3Q Spread -14.5 | 46% |
| 4Q Spread -14.5 | 46% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 45% |
| 1H Moneyline | 45% |
| Spread -3.5 | 44% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 44% |
| 3Q Spread -14.5 | 44% |
| Bengals 1H O/U 10.5 | 44% |
| Bengals vs. Texans | 43% |
| O/U 47.5 | 43% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 3Q | 43% |
| Spread -4.5 | 42% |
| 2Q O/U 14.5 | 42% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 1Q | 42% |
| Bengals Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 42% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 41% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 41% |
| O/U 48.5 | 40% |
| Spread -1.5 | 40% |
| Spread -5.5 | 40% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 40% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 40% |
| Texans O/U 26.5 | 40% |
| O/U 49.5 | 39% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 39% |
| Texans 1H O/U 13.5 | 39% |
| Spread -2.5 | 38% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 38% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 38% |
| 4Q O/U 14.5 | 38% |
| 1H O/U 25.5 | 37% |
| O/U 50.5 | 36% |
| Spread -6.5 | 36% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 36% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 36% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 36% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 36% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 35% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 35% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 34% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 33% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 33% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 33% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 33% |
| O/U 51.5 | 32% |
| Spread -3.5 | 32% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 32% |
| Texans O/U 27.5 | 32% |
| Bengals 1H O/U 13.5 | 32% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 31% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 31% |
| O/U 52.5 | 31% |
| Bengals O/U 26.5 | 31% |
| Spread -7.5 | 30% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 30% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 30% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 29% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 29% |
| Spread -4.5 | 28% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 28% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 28% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 28% |
| O/U 53.5 | 27% |
| Spread -5.5 | 27% |
| Spread -8.5 | 27% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 27% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 26% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 26% |
| O/U 54.5 | 26% |
| Spread -6.5 | 25% |
| Spread -9.5 | 25% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 25% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 25% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 25% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 25% |
| 2H O/U 28.5 | 25% |
| Texans 1H O/U 16.5 | 25% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 24% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 24% |
| 1H O/U 28.5 | 24% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 24% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 23% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 23% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 23% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 23% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 23% |
| Texans O/U 30.5 | 23% |
| O/U 55.5 | 22% |
| Spread -10.5 | 22% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 22% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 21% |
| O/U 56.5 | 21% |
| Bengals 1H O/U 16.5 | 21% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 20% |
| Spread -7.5 | 19% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 19% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 19% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 19% |
| Spread -13.5 | 18% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 18% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 18% |
| O/U 57.5 | 17% |
| Spread -8.5 | 17% |
| Spread -9.5 | 17% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 17% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 17% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 17% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 17% |
| Texans 1H O/U 17.5 | 17% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 16% |
| O/U 58.5 | 16% |
| 3Q O/U 14.5 | 16% |
| Bengals O/U 34.5 | 16% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 15% |
| Spread -14.5 | 15% |
| Bengals O/U 27.5 | 15% |
| O/U 59.5 | 14% |
| Spread -10.5 | 14% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 14% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 14% |
| Texans 1H O/U 19.5 | 14% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 13% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 13% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 13% |
| O/U 60.5 | 13% |
| O/U 61.5 | 12% |
| Spread -13.5 | 12% |
| Spread -16.5 | 12% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 12% |
| 1Q Spread -14.5 | 12% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 12% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 12% |
| 1Q O/U 14.5 | 12% |
| Bengals 1H O/U 19.5 | 12% |
| Spread -17.5 | 11% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 11% |
| O/U 63.5 | 10% |
| Spread -19.5 | 10% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 10% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 10% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 10% |
| O/U 62.5 | 10% |
| Texans 1H O/U 20.5 | 10% |
| Spread -14.5 | 9% |
| O/U 64.5 | 9% |
| Bengals 1H O/U 20.5 | 9% |
| O/U 65.5 | 8% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 8% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 8% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 8% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 8% |
| Spread -16.5 | 7% |
| Spread -20.5 | 7% |
| Spread -21.5 | 7% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 7% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 7% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 7% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 7% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 7% |
| Safety? | 7% |
| O/U 67.5 | 6% |
| Spread -17.5 | 6% |
| Spread -19.5 | 6% |
| Spread -20.5 | 6% |
| Spread -21.5 | 6% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 6% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 5% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | 5% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | 5% |
| Exact Margin: Tie | 1% |
Markt-Kontext
Bengals vs. Texans. The market is currently pricing the outcome at 42% YES, meaning crowd-implied probability sits at that level. Settlement is scheduled for 2026-09-20T17:00:00Z. Unlike a sportsbook, the price you see is set by buyers and sellers competing in a live order book — there is no house edge or bookmaker margin to fade.
Sports outcome markets resolve from official league data once the contest finishes. Pricing typically tightens through the warm-up window as line-ups, weather, and starting-pitcher data become public, then moves on goals or runs in real time.
Watch for the underlying catalysts that move this category: each official announcement, dataset release, or scheduled milestone generally produces a step change in the implied probability. Trades execute instantly on Polygon, and shares pay $1 each at resolution if your side wins.
Live-Daten & Statistiken
Live-Statistiken werden geladen, sobald das Spiel beginnt. Aktuelle Quoten sind oben verfügbar. Handelsvolumen: $2.2M.
Methodik dieser Bewertung
Diese Seite ist als Vergleichs-Snapshot konzipiert: ein Live-Kurs (Polymarket), vier Referenz-Plattformen mit ihren Schlüssel-Eigenschaften, und ein durchgehender Pfad zur Ausführung — alle Trade-Buttons routen zu Sofort Wetten, das den Polymarket-Orderbuch direkt spiegelt.
Auflösung & Auszahlung
Polymarket-basierte Märkte werden über das UMA Optimistic Oracle auf Polygon aufgelöst. Ein Vorschlagender reicht das Ergebnis ein, ein zweistündiges Einspruchsfenster öffnet sich, und unangefochtene Vorschläge schließen die Auflösung ab. Auszahlungen erfolgen automatisch in USDC, sobald das Ergebnis final ist — keine Buchhalter, keine Verzögerung.
Kalshi-basierte Märkte werden in USD über die CFTC-regulierte Settlement-Engine ausgezahlt. Betfair Exchange zahlt in GBP/EUR aus, abzüglich Kommission. Manifold ist Spielgeld und zahlt keine echten Beträge aus.
Häufige Fragen
- Wo kann ich diesen Markt am günstigsten handeln?
- Polymarket selbst ist global zugänglich, in DE/AT/CH allerdings geo-blockiert. Der einfachste Broker mit gleichem Orderbuch und 0 % Gebühr ist Sofort Wetten. Kalshi nimmt bis zu 7 % pro Trade, Betfair Exchange 2-5 % Kommission auf Gewinne.
- Sind Prediction-Märkte in Deutschland legal?
- Prediction-Märkte befinden sich in Deutschland in einem rechtlichen Graubereich. Polymarket selbst ist in Deutschland geo-blockiert. Handeln Sie nur mit Kapital, dessen Verlust Sie verkraften können, und prüfen Sie die rechtliche Lage für Ihre Jurisdiktion.
- Welche Gebühren fallen bei Polymarket an?
- Direkt am Polymarket-Orderbuch keine Gebühren — die einzigen Kosten sind Polygon-Netzwerkgebühren (typischerweise unter $0,01 pro Transaktion). Off-chain Plattformen wie Kalshi oder Betfair verlangen 2-7 % Kommission.
- Wie lange dauert eine USDC-Einzahlung?
- Auf Polygon werden Einzahlungen nach 12 Bestätigungen gutgeschrieben — in der Regel unter 30 Sekunden. Withdrawals folgen demselben Pfad und sind binnen Minuten auf Ihrer Wallet.
- Wie verlässlich sind die angezeigten Quoten?
- Die YES/NO-Prozentsätze sind die Live-Mid-Preise des Polymarket-Orderbuchs. Auf Märkten mit hoher Liquidität bewegen sich diese Werte sekündlich; bei dünneren Märkten sehen Sie kurze Plateaus.
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Jetzt „Prognose: Bengals vs. Texans" auf Sofort Wetten handeln
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