Plattform-Vergleich
| Plattform | JA-Quote | NEIN-Quote | Gebühr | KYC | Auszahlung | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (über Sofort Wetten) Empfohlen polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0 % (USDC on-chain) | Bis $1.500 ohne KYC | USDC, automatisch via UMA | Auf Polymarket ansehen → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blockiert in DE/AT/CH | USDC, on-chain | Auf Polymarket ansehen → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Bis 7 % pro Trade | US-only, KYC erforderlich | USD | Auf Polymarket ansehen → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5 % Kommission | Vollständige KYC ab erstem Trade | GBP / EUR | Auf Polymarket ansehen → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Spielgeld (mana) | Keine — Spielgeld | Mana (kein Cash-Out) | Auf Polymarket ansehen → |
Ergebnis-Wahrscheinlichkeiten
Aktuelle marktimplizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit je Ergebnis aus dem Live-Orderbuch.
| Ergebnis | Wahrscheinlichkeit |
|---|---|
| Cardinals vs. Chargers | 100% |
| O/U 31.5 | 100% |
| O/U 37.5 | 100% |
| 2H Moneyline | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 3.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 12.5 | 100% |
| Cardinals 1H O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| Cardinals 1H O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Cardinals 1H O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| 2H O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| 2H O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 100% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 3.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 100% |
| Cardinals 2H O/U 5.5 | 100% |
| Cardinals 2H O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| Cardinals 2H O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| 1H Moneyline | 100% |
| Cardinals O/U 11.5 | 100% |
| Cardinals O/U 14.5 | 100% |
| Cardinals O/U 17.5 | 100% |
| Cardinals O/U 20.5 | 100% |
| Cardinals O/U 23.5 | 100% |
| Exact Margin: Cardinals by 7-12 | 100% |
| Team to Record Longest FG | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 1Q | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 3Q | 100% |
| Cardinals Total Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Cardinals Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 100% |
| Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| Spread -4.5 | 100% |
| Spread -5.5 | 100% |
| Spread -6.5 | 100% |
| Spread -7.5 | 100% |
| Spread -8.5 | 100% |
| Spread -9.5 | 100% |
| Spread -10.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 100% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 100% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 100% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 100% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 100% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 100% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 100% |
| O/U 24.5 | 100% |
| O/U 26.5 | 100% |
| O/U 28.5 | 100% |
| O/U 30.5 | 100% |
| O/U 32.5 | 100% |
| O/U 34.5 | 100% |
| O/U 36.5 | 100% |
| O/U 38.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 5.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 5.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 5.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 4Q O/U 5.5 | 100% |
| 4Q O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| Cardinals O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| Cardinals O/U 12.5 | 100% |
| Cardinals O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| Cardinals O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| Cardinals O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Chargers O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| Chargers O/U 12.5 | 100% |
| Chargers O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| Cardinals 1H O/U 12.5 | 100% |
| Chargers 1H O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| Cardinals 2H O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| Cardinals 2H O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| Cardinals 2H O/U 12.5 | 100% |
| Chargers 2H O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| Cardinals O/U 22.5 | 100% |
| Cardinals O/U 25.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 4.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 4.5 | 100% |
| Cardinals 1H O/U 11.5 | 100% |
| O/U 29.5 | 96% |
| O/U 27.5 | 91% |
| O/U 33.5 | 91% |
| O/U 35.5 | 91% |
| O/U 39.5 | 91% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 4Q | 62% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 50% |
| O/U 50.5 | 10% |
| O/U 41.5 | 10% |
| O/U 51.5 | 10% |
| O/U 57.5 | 10% |
| O/U 59.5 | 10% |
| O/U 63.5 | 10% |
| O/U 65.5 | 10% |
| O/U 53.5 | 3% |
| O/U 55.5 | 2% |
| Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| Spread -11.5 | 0% |
| Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| O/U 44.5 | 0% |
| O/U 46.5 | 0% |
| O/U 47.5 | 0% |
| O/U 49.5 | 0% |
| O/U 43.5 | 0% |
| O/U 45.5 | 0% |
| O/U 61.5 | 0% |
| O/U 67.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 15.5 | 0% |
| Chargers 1H O/U 12.5 | 0% |
| Chargers 1H O/U 14.5 | 0% |
| Chargers 1H O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 2H O/U 22.5 | 0% |
| 2H O/U 25.5 | 0% |
| 2H O/U 28.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 8.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 11.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 14.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 17.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 20.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 12.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 15.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Chargers 2H O/U 11.5 | 0% |
| Chargers 2H O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| Chargers 2H O/U 15.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 23.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| Chargers O/U 22.5 | 0% |
| Chargers O/U 25.5 | 0% |
| Chargers O/U 28.5 | 0% |
| Chargers O/U 31.5 | 0% |
| Chargers O/U 34.5 | 0% |
| Exact Margin: Cardinals by 25+ | 0% |
| Exact Margin: Cardinals by 19-24 | 0% |
| Exact Margin: Cardinals by 13-18 | 0% |
| Exact Margin: Cardinals by 1-6 | 0% |
| Exact Margin: Tie | 0% |
| Exact Margin: Chargers by 1-6 | 0% |
| Exact Margin: Chargers by 7-13 | 0% |
| Exact Margin: Chargers by 14-20 | 0% |
| Exact Margin: Chargers by 21+ | 0% |
| Safety? | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 2Q | 0% |
| Chargers Total Touchdowns: O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| Chargers Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 0% |
| Cardinals vs. Chargers: Total Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| O/U 48.5 | 0% |
| Cardinals Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| Spread -16.5 | 0% |
| Spread -17.5 | 0% |
| Spread -19.5 | 0% |
| Spread -20.5 | 0% |
| Spread -21.5 | 0% |
| Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| Spread -16.5 | 0% |
| Spread -17.5 | 0% |
| Spread -19.5 | 0% |
| Spread -20.5 | 0% |
| Spread -21.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| O/U 40.5 | 0% |
| O/U 42.5 | 0% |
| O/U 52.5 | 0% |
| O/U 54.5 | 0% |
| O/U 56.5 | 0% |
| O/U 58.5 | 0% |
| O/U 60.5 | 0% |
| O/U 62.5 | 0% |
| O/U 64.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 22.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 25.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 28.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 14.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 6.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 14.5 | 0% |
| 4Q O/U 14.5 | 0% |
| Cardinals O/U 26.5 | 0% |
| Cardinals O/U 27.5 | 0% |
| Cardinals O/U 30.5 | 0% |
| Cardinals O/U 34.5 | 0% |
| Chargers O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| Chargers O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Chargers O/U 20.5 | 0% |
| Chargers O/U 23.5 | 0% |
| Chargers O/U 26.5 | 0% |
| Chargers O/U 27.5 | 0% |
| Chargers O/U 30.5 | 0% |
| Cardinals 1H O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| Cardinals 1H O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| Cardinals 1H O/U 17.5 | 0% |
| Cardinals 1H O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Cardinals 1H O/U 20.5 | 0% |
| Chargers 1H O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| Chargers 1H O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| Chargers 1H O/U 17.5 | 0% |
| Chargers 1H O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Chargers 1H O/U 20.5 | 0% |
| Cardinals 2H O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| Cardinals 2H O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| Cardinals 2H O/U 17.5 | 0% |
| Cardinals 2H O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Cardinals 2H O/U 20.5 | 0% |
| Chargers 2H O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| Chargers 2H O/U 12.5 | 0% |
| Chargers 2H O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| Chargers 2H O/U 17.5 | 0% |
| Chargers 2H O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Chargers 2H O/U 20.5 | 0% |
| Chargers O/U 17.5 | 0% |
| Chargers O/U 29.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| Cardinals 1H O/U 15.5 | 0% |
| Cardinals 2H O/U 14.5 | 0% |
Markt-Kontext
Der Prognosemarkt für „Prognose: Cardinals vs. Chargers" bewertet dieses Ergebnis derzeit mit 100% Ja-Wahrscheinlichkeit. In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for September 13 at 4:25PM ET: If Cardinals wins, the market will resolve to "Cardinals". If Chargers wins, the market will resolve to "Chargers". If the game is po…
Live-Daten & Statistiken
Live-Statistiken werden geladen, sobald das Spiel beginnt. Aktuelle Quoten sind oben verfügbar. Handelsvolumen: $1.3M.
Methodik dieser Bewertung
Methodisch unterscheiden wir zwei Schichten: die Live-Wahrscheinlichkeit (Polymarket-Mid-Preis) und die Plattform-Attribute (Gebühren, KYC, Auszahlung, Settlement-Währung). Eine kanonische Wahrscheinlichkeit über die Zeile, die Anbieter-spezifischen Trade-offs in den Spalten — sauber, vergleichbar, ohne Marketing-Lärm.
Auflösung & Auszahlung
Die Auflösung läuft on-chain. Polymarkets Vertragslogik trennt YES- und NO-Anteile als Conditional Tokens; bei Auflösung werden die richtigen Anteile zu 100¢ und die anderen zu 0¢. Die Outcome-Eingabe kommt vom UMA Optimistic Oracle, das mit einem Bond-System gegen falsche Auflösung absichert.
Sobald die Auflösung durch ist, hebt der Smart Contract alle gewinnenden Anteile zu USDC und schickt die Beträge an die Wallets der Inhaber. Das geschieht binnen Minuten der finalen Bestätigung — ohne Auszahlungsgebühren über die Polygon-Netzwerkkosten hinaus.
Häufige Fragen
- Wo kann ich diesen Markt am günstigsten handeln?
- Polymarket selbst ist global zugänglich, in DE/AT/CH allerdings geo-blockiert. Der einfachste Broker mit gleichem Orderbuch und 0 % Gebühr ist Sofort Wetten. Kalshi nimmt bis zu 7 % pro Trade, Betfair Exchange 2-5 % Kommission auf Gewinne.
- Wie funktioniert die Auflösung?
- Über das UMA Optimistic Oracle: ein Vorschlagender reicht das Ergebnis ein, ein zweistündiges Einspruchsfenster öffnet sich, USDC-Auszahlung erfolgt automatisch.
- Was ist der Unterschied zwischen YES- und NO-Anteilen?
- Ein YES-Anteil zahlt $1,00 bei Eintritt des Ereignisses, sonst $0. Ein NO-Anteil zahlt $1,00, wenn das Ereignis nicht eintritt. Der Marktpreis zwischen 0¢ und 100¢ ist die implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit.
- Wie lange dauert eine USDC-Einzahlung?
- Auf Polygon werden Einzahlungen nach 12 Bestätigungen gutgeschrieben — in der Regel unter 30 Sekunden. Withdrawals folgen demselben Pfad und sind binnen Minuten auf Ihrer Wallet.
- Brauche ich KYC für diesen Markt?
- Auf Polymarket direkt nicht. Über vermittelnde Broker wie Sofort Wetten ist KYC erst ab $1.500 lebenslangem Trading-Volumen erforderlich — darunter handeln Sie pseudonym mit nur einer Wallet-Adresse.
Jetzt „Prognose: Cardinals vs. Chargers" auf Sofort Wetten handeln
Live-Orderbuch, 0 % Gebühren, USDC-Auszahlung in Sekunden.
Live-Markt öffnen →