Plattform-Vergleich
| Plattform | JA-Quote | NEIN-Quote | Gebühr | KYC | Auszahlung | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (über Sofort Wetten) Empfohlen polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0 % (USDC on-chain) | Bis $1.500 ohne KYC | USDC, automatisch via UMA | Auf Polymarket ansehen → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blockiert in DE/AT/CH | USDC, on-chain | Auf Polymarket ansehen → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Bis 7 % pro Trade | US-only, KYC erforderlich | USD | Auf Polymarket ansehen → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5 % Kommission | Vollständige KYC ab erstem Trade | GBP / EUR | Auf Polymarket ansehen → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Spielgeld (mana) | Keine — Spielgeld | Mana (kein Cash-Out) | Auf Polymarket ansehen → |
Ergebnis-Wahrscheinlichkeiten
Aktuelle marktimplizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit je Ergebnis aus dem Live-Orderbuch.
| Ergebnis | Wahrscheinlichkeit |
|---|---|
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| Ohio State 1H O/U 11.5 | 100% |
| Ohio State 1H O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| Ohio State 1H O/U 15.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 1H Moneyline | 100% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 100% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 100% |
| Ohio State vs. Iowa | 94% |
| Spread -2.5 | 91% |
| Spread -1.5 | 91% |
| Spread -3.5 | 89% |
| Spread -4.5 | 88% |
| Spread -5.5 | 86% |
| Spread -6.5 | 84% |
| Spread -7.5 | 82% |
| O/U 41.5 | 79% |
| Spread -15.5 | 77% |
| Spread -9.5 | 76% |
| Spread -10.5 | 73% |
| Spread -19.5 | 70% |
| O/U 39.5 | 69% |
| Spread -11.5 | 69% |
| Spread -13.5 | 64% |
| Spread -14.5 | 57% |
| Spread -16.5 | 53% |
| O/U 43.5 | 52% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 51% |
| Ohio State O/U 20.5 | 51% |
| Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| O/U 35.5 | 50% |
| O/U 37.5 | 50% |
| O/U 49.5 | 50% |
| O/U 53.5 | 50% |
| O/U 55.5 | 50% |
| O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| O/U 61.5 | 50% |
| O/U 65.5 | 50% |
| O/U 67.5 | 50% |
| O/U 69.5 | 50% |
| O/U 71.5 | 50% |
| O/U 73.5 | 50% |
| O/U 75.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| Iowa O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Iowa O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Iowa O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Iowa O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| Iowa O/U 35.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Iowa 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Iowa 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Iowa 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 50% |
| Ohio State vs. Iowa: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| Ohio State vs. Iowa: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State vs. Iowa: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Iowa Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Iowa Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Iowa Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Iowa Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Iowa Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Iowa Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Iowa Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Iowa Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Iowa Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Iowa Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Iowa Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Iowa Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Iowa 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Iowa 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Iowa Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Iowa Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Iowa Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Iowa Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Iowa Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Iowa Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Iowa Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Iowa Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State vs. Iowa: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Iowa Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State vs. Iowa: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State vs. Iowa: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -34.5 | 50% |
| Spread -31.5 | 50% |
| Spread -28.5 | 50% |
| Spread -22.5 | 50% |
| Spread -12.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -11.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Iowa O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| O/U 45.5 | 43% |
| Spread -18.5 | 43% |
| Spread -20.5 | 37% |
| O/U 47.5 | 32% |
| Spread -21.5 | 32% |
| Spread -24.5 | 25% |
| O/U 51.5 | 21% |
| Spread -27.5 | 17% |
| O/U 57.5 | 11% |
| Spread -4.5 | 9% |
| Spread -30.5 | 9% |
| Spread -1.5 | 7% |
| Spread -2.5 | 6% |
| O/U 63.5 | 5% |
| Spread -3.5 | 4% |
| Spread -6.5 | 4% |
| Spread -5.5 | 2% |
| Spread -7.5 | 1% |
| Spread -10.5 | 1% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 33.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Iowa 1H O/U 12.5 | 0% |
| Iowa 1H O/U 14.5 | 0% |
| Iowa 1H O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
Markt-Kontext
Marktkonsens: 100% Chance für prognose: ohio state vs. iowa. Prognosemärkte bündeln echtes Kapital zu diesem Wahrscheinlichkeitssignal. In the upcoming college football game between Ohio State and Iowa, scheduled for October 3 at 3:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Ohio State" if Ohio State win the game. This m…
Live-Daten & Statistiken
Live-Statistiken werden geladen, sobald das Spiel beginnt. Aktuelle Quoten sind oben verfügbar. Handelsvolumen: $1.5M.
Methodik dieser Bewertung
Methodisch unterscheiden wir zwei Schichten: die Live-Wahrscheinlichkeit (Polymarket-Mid-Preis) und die Plattform-Attribute (Gebühren, KYC, Auszahlung, Settlement-Währung). Eine kanonische Wahrscheinlichkeit über die Zeile, die Anbieter-spezifischen Trade-offs in den Spalten — sauber, vergleichbar, ohne Marketing-Lärm.
Auflösung & Auszahlung
Polymarket-basierte Märkte werden über das UMA Optimistic Oracle auf Polygon aufgelöst. Ein Vorschlagender reicht das Ergebnis ein, ein zweistündiges Einspruchsfenster öffnet sich, und unangefochtene Vorschläge schließen die Auflösung ab. Auszahlungen erfolgen automatisch in USDC, sobald das Ergebnis final ist — keine Buchhalter, keine Verzögerung.
Kalshi-basierte Märkte werden in USD über die CFTC-regulierte Settlement-Engine ausgezahlt. Betfair Exchange zahlt in GBP/EUR aus, abzüglich Kommission. Manifold ist Spielgeld und zahlt keine echten Beträge aus.
Häufige Fragen
- Wo kann ich diesen Markt am günstigsten handeln?
- Polymarket selbst ist global zugänglich, in DE/AT/CH allerdings geo-blockiert. Der einfachste Broker mit gleichem Orderbuch und 0 % Gebühr ist Sofort Wetten. Kalshi nimmt bis zu 7 % pro Trade, Betfair Exchange 2-5 % Kommission auf Gewinne.
- Wie funktioniert die Auflösung?
- Über das UMA Optimistic Oracle: ein Vorschlagender reicht das Ergebnis ein, ein zweistündiges Einspruchsfenster öffnet sich, USDC-Auszahlung erfolgt automatisch.
- Welche Gebühren fallen bei Polymarket an?
- Direkt am Polymarket-Orderbuch keine Gebühren — die einzigen Kosten sind Polygon-Netzwerkgebühren (typischerweise unter $0,01 pro Transaktion). Off-chain Plattformen wie Kalshi oder Betfair verlangen 2-7 % Kommission.
- Wie lange dauert eine USDC-Einzahlung?
- Auf Polygon werden Einzahlungen nach 12 Bestätigungen gutgeschrieben — in der Regel unter 30 Sekunden. Withdrawals folgen demselben Pfad und sind binnen Minuten auf Ihrer Wallet.
- Brauche ich KYC für diesen Markt?
- Auf Polymarket direkt nicht. Über vermittelnde Broker wie Sofort Wetten ist KYC erst ab $1.500 lebenslangem Trading-Volumen erforderlich — darunter handeln Sie pseudonym mit nur einer Wallet-Adresse.
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Jetzt „Prognose: Ohio State vs. Iowa" auf Sofort Wetten handeln
Live-Orderbuch, 0 % Gebühren, USDC-Auszahlung in Sekunden.
Live-Markt öffnen →