Plattform-Vergleich
| Plattform | JA-Quote | NEIN-Quote | Gebühr | KYC | Auszahlung | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (über Sofort Wetten) Empfohlen polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
96% | 4% | 0 % (USDC on-chain) | Bis $1.500 ohne KYC | USDC, automatisch via UMA | Auf Polymarket ansehen → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
96% | 4% | 0% | Geo-blockiert in DE/AT/CH | USDC, on-chain | Auf Polymarket ansehen → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Bis 7 % pro Trade | US-only, KYC erforderlich | USD | Auf Polymarket ansehen → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5 % Kommission | Vollständige KYC ab erstem Trade | GBP / EUR | Auf Polymarket ansehen → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Spielgeld (mana) | Keine — Spielgeld | Mana (kein Cash-Out) | Auf Polymarket ansehen → |
Ergebnis-Wahrscheinlichkeiten
Aktuelle marktimplizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit je Ergebnis aus dem Live-Orderbuch.
| Ergebnis | Wahrscheinlichkeit |
|---|---|
| O/U 24.5 | 96% |
| O/U 26.5 | 95% |
| O/U 27.5 | 94% |
| Falcons O/U 10.5 | 94% |
| Falcons O/U 13.5 | 91% |
| O/U 28.5 | 90% |
| O/U 29.5 | 89% |
| O/U 30.5 | 89% |
| Ravens O/U 12.5 | 87% |
| Falcons O/U 16.5 | 86% |
| Ravens O/U 10.5 | 85% |
| O/U 31.5 | 83% |
| O/U 32.5 | 83% |
| Falcons O/U 12.5 | 82% |
| Falcons O/U 19.5 | 81% |
| O/U 33.5 | 79% |
| Ravens O/U 13.5 | 78% |
| O/U 34.5 | 77% |
| 1Q O/U 5.5 | 75% |
| O/U 35.5 | 74% |
| 1H O/U 16.5 | 73% |
| 2Q O/U 5.5 | 73% |
| O/U 36.5 | 72% |
| 4Q O/U 5.5 | 71% |
| 2Q O/U 6.5 | 69% |
| Falcons 1H O/U 6.5 | 69% |
| O/U 37.5 | 68% |
| 3Q O/U 5.5 | 68% |
| 4Q O/U 6.5 | 68% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 67% |
| Ravens O/U 16.5 | 67% |
| O/U 39.5 | 66% |
| O/U 38.5 | 66% |
| 1Q O/U 6.5 | 66% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 66% |
| Falcons O/U 20.5 | 62% |
| O/U 40.5 | 61% |
| 1H O/U 19.5 | 61% |
| Spread -1.5 | 60% |
| O/U 41.5 | 57% |
| Spread -2.5 | 57% |
| 2H O/U 16.5 | 56% |
| 2H O/U 19.5 | 56% |
| 2H O/U 22.5 | 56% |
| 2H O/U 25.5 | 56% |
| 3Q O/U 6.5 | 56% |
| Ravens 1H O/U 6.5 | 56% |
| O/U 42.5 | 55% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 55% |
| Ravens O/U 19.5 | 55% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 2Q | 55% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 53% |
| O/U 43.5 | 52% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 51% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 51% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 51% |
| Ravens 2H O/U 13.5 | 51% |
| Exact Margin: Ravens by 25+ | 51% |
| Ravens vs. Falcons: Total Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 51% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| Falcons 1H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Ravens 2H O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Ravens 2H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Ravens 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Ravens 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Ravens 2H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Ravens 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Ravens 2H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Falcons 2H O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Falcons 2H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Falcons 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Falcons 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Falcons 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Falcons 2H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Falcons 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Falcons 2H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Ravens by 19-24 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Ravens by 13-18 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Ravens by 7-12 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Falcons by 7-13 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Falcons by 14-20 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Falcons by 21+ | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 3Q | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 4Q | 50% |
| Ravens Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Falcons Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Ravens Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Falcons Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 14.5 | 49% |
| Falcons 1H O/U 12.5 | 49% |
| Spread -3.5 | 48% |
| O/U 44.5 | 48% |
| Exact Margin: Ravens by 1-6 | 48% |
| 1H O/U 22.5 | 47% |
| Ravens O/U 20.5 | 47% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 1Q | 47% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 46% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 46% |
| Falcons 1H O/U 13.5 | 46% |
| Spread -4.5 | 45% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 45% |
| Exact Margin: Falcons by 1-6 | 45% |
| O/U 45.5 | 44% |
| Safety? | 44% |
| Spread -5.5 | 43% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 43% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 43% |
| 4Q O/U 14.5 | 43% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 43% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 42% |
| Exact Margin: Tie | 42% |
| Spread -6.5 | 41% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 41% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 41% |
| O/U 46.5 | 41% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 41% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 40% |
| 1H Moneyline | 40% |
| Ravens vs. Falcons | 39% |
| Ravens 1H O/U 12.5 | 39% |
| O/U 47.5 | 38% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 38% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 38% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 37% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 37% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 37% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 37% |
| Ravens 1H O/U 10.5 | 37% |
| Spread -1.5 | 36% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 36% |
| 2H O/U 28.5 | 36% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 35% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 35% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 35% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 35% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 35% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 35% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 35% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 35% |
| O/U 48.5 | 35% |
| Spread -2.5 | 34% |
| Spread -7.5 | 34% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 34% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 34% |
| Ravens O/U 23.5 | 34% |
| O/U 49.5 | 33% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 33% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 33% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 33% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 33% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 33% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 33% |
| 1H O/U 25.5 | 33% |
| Spread -8.5 | 32% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 32% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 32% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 32% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 32% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 31% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 31% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 31% |
| Spread -9.5 | 30% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 30% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 30% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 30% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 30% |
| O/U 50.5 | 30% |
| Falcons 1H O/U 16.5 | 30% |
| Falcons 1H O/U 19.5 | 30% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 29% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 29% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 29% |
| Falcons 1H O/U 17.5 | 29% |
| Spread -3.5 | 28% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 28% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 28% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 28% |
| Falcons O/U 23.5 | 28% |
| O/U 51.5 | 27% |
| Spread -10.5 | 27% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 27% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 27% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 27% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 27% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 27% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 27% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 27% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 26% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 26% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 26% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 26% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 26% |
| Ravens 1H O/U 19.5 | 26% |
| Falcons 1H O/U 20.5 | 26% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 25% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | 25% |
| O/U 52.5 | 25% |
| Ravens O/U 26.5 | 25% |
| Spread -4.5 | 24% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 24% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 23% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 23% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 23% |
| 3Q O/U 14.5 | 23% |
| Ravens 1H O/U 13.5 | 23% |
| O/U 53.5 | 22% |
| Spread -5.5 | 22% |
| Spread -13.5 | 22% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 22% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 22% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 22% |
| 1H O/U 28.5 | 22% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 22% |
| Falcons O/U 26.5 | 22% |
| Spread -6.5 | 20% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 20% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 20% |
| O/U 54.5 | 20% |
| Spread -14.5 | 19% |
| O/U 55.5 | 18% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 18% |
| Falcons O/U 27.5 | 18% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 17% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 17% |
| O/U 56.5 | 17% |
| Spread -7.5 | 16% |
| Spread -16.5 | 15% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 15% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 15% |
| Ravens 1H O/U 17.5 | 15% |
| O/U 57.5 | 14% |
| Spread -8.5 | 14% |
| Spread -9.5 | 14% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 14% |
| O/U 58.5 | 14% |
| Falcons O/U 34.5 | 14% |
| Ravens 1H O/U 16.5 | 14% |
| Ravens O/U 27.5 | 13% |
| Falcons O/U 30.5 | 13% |
| Spread -17.5 | 12% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 12% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 12% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 12% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 12% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | 12% |
| 1Q O/U 14.5 | 12% |
| Spread -10.5 | 11% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 11% |
| O/U 59.5 | 10% |
| O/U 61.5 | 10% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 10% |
| O/U 60.5 | 10% |
| Ravens O/U 34.5 | 10% |
| Ravens 1H O/U 20.5 | 10% |
| Spread -21.5 | 9% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 9% |
| Ravens O/U 30.5 | 9% |
| Spread -13.5 | 8% |
| Spread -19.5 | 8% |
| Spread -20.5 | 8% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 8% |
| O/U 62.5 | 8% |
| O/U 63.5 | 7% |
| Spread -14.5 | 7% |
| Spread -16.5 | 7% |
| O/U 64.5 | 7% |
| O/U 65.5 | 6% |
| O/U 67.5 | 6% |
| Spread -21.5 | 6% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 6% |
| Spread -17.5 | 5% |
| Spread -19.5 | 5% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 5% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 5% |
| Spread -20.5 | 4% |
Markt-Kontext
Marktkonsens: 96% Chance für prognose: ravens vs. falcons. Prognosemärkte bündeln echtes Kapital zu diesem Wahrscheinlichkeitssignal. In the upcoming NFL football game between Ravens and Falcons, scheduled for October 11 at 8:20PM ET: This market will resolve to "Ravens" if Ravens win the game. This market will r…
Live-Daten & Statistiken
Live-Statistiken werden geladen, sobald das Spiel beginnt. Aktuelle Quoten sind oben verfügbar. Handelsvolumen: $574K.
Methodik dieser Bewertung
Diese Seite ist als Vergleichs-Snapshot konzipiert: ein Live-Kurs (Polymarket), vier Referenz-Plattformen mit ihren Schlüssel-Eigenschaften, und ein durchgehender Pfad zur Ausführung — alle Trade-Buttons routen zu Sofort Wetten, das den Polymarket-Orderbuch direkt spiegelt.
Auflösung & Auszahlung
Die Auflösung läuft on-chain. Polymarkets Vertragslogik trennt YES- und NO-Anteile als Conditional Tokens; bei Auflösung werden die richtigen Anteile zu 100¢ und die anderen zu 0¢. Die Outcome-Eingabe kommt vom UMA Optimistic Oracle, das mit einem Bond-System gegen falsche Auflösung absichert.
Sobald die Auflösung durch ist, hebt der Smart Contract alle gewinnenden Anteile zu USDC und schickt die Beträge an die Wallets der Inhaber. Das geschieht binnen Minuten der finalen Bestätigung — ohne Auszahlungsgebühren über die Polygon-Netzwerkkosten hinaus.
Häufige Fragen
- Wo kann ich diesen Markt am günstigsten handeln?
- Polymarket selbst ist global zugänglich, in DE/AT/CH allerdings geo-blockiert. Der einfachste Broker mit gleichem Orderbuch und 0 % Gebühr ist Sofort Wetten. Kalshi nimmt bis zu 7 % pro Trade, Betfair Exchange 2-5 % Kommission auf Gewinne.
- Sind Prediction-Märkte in Deutschland legal?
- Prediction-Märkte befinden sich in Deutschland in einem rechtlichen Graubereich. Polymarket selbst ist in Deutschland geo-blockiert. Handeln Sie nur mit Kapital, dessen Verlust Sie verkraften können, und prüfen Sie die rechtliche Lage für Ihre Jurisdiktion.
- Wie funktioniert die Auflösung?
- Über das UMA Optimistic Oracle: ein Vorschlagender reicht das Ergebnis ein, ein zweistündiges Einspruchsfenster öffnet sich, USDC-Auszahlung erfolgt automatisch.
- Wie lange dauert eine USDC-Einzahlung?
- Auf Polygon werden Einzahlungen nach 12 Bestätigungen gutgeschrieben — in der Regel unter 30 Sekunden. Withdrawals folgen demselben Pfad und sind binnen Minuten auf Ihrer Wallet.
- Brauche ich KYC für diesen Markt?
- Auf Polymarket direkt nicht. Über vermittelnde Broker wie Sofort Wetten ist KYC erst ab $1.500 lebenslangem Trading-Volumen erforderlich — darunter handeln Sie pseudonym mit nur einer Wallet-Adresse.
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